In the month of June 1, 2025 , we see a small drop in the price of petrol which is a short-term relief for consumers that have been dealing with high inflation. Also reported is a very small-scale drop in the prices of HSD which is all tied in to the global oil prices which had gone down.
A Breath of Fresh Air: Pakistan Petrol Prices in June 2025
According to reports, the Pakistan petrol price in June 2025 is going to see a drop of about PKR 0.60 to PKR 1.00 per litre which will see the present rate of PKR 256.13 per litre reduce to a range of PKR 255.13 to PKR 255.53 . Though it is a minor change, it does bring about a ray of hope for families and businesses which look to fuel as a large component of their costs.
Also, we see that High-Speed Diesel (HSD) prices are going down by a small margin of PKR 0.28 to PKR 0.50 per litre which takes the present price of PKR 260.95 per litre to a range of PKR 260.45 to PKR 260.67 . What we are to see is that these changes are mainly a result of the fall in global oil prices which has seen Brent crude drop to around $64.62 per barrel and WTI to $61.38 per barrel.
Expected Changes in Fuel Prices for June 2025
In June 2025 , we see that for Pakistan the petroleum price and other fuels will see changes which include:
- Petrol Price: Expected between PKR 255.13 to PKR 255.53 per litre (from the present PKR 256.13 ).
- High-Speed Diesel (HSD): Expected to be between PKR 260.45 to PKR 260.67 per litre (which is from the present PKR 260.95 ).
While petrol and diesel will see some relief at the pumps in Pakistan, it is also true that other petroleum products’ prices may see small-scale increases. We expect Kerosene oil to go up by about PKR 0.30 per litre which may see it go to about PKR 164.96 . Also to notice is a more marked increase in the price of Light Diesel Oil (LDO) which may see it go up by PKR 1.30 per litre.
A Base Line Report of Pakistan Fuel Prices in May 2025
To see the present situation which is to change, look at the fuel prices in Pakistan as of May 2025 :
- Petrol: PKR 256.13 per litre
- High-Speed Diesel (HSD): PKR 260.95 per litre
- Kerosene Oil: PKR 161.66 per litre
- Light Diesel Oil (LDO): PKR 148.95 per litre
- High-Octane: Approx at PKR 271.60 per litre (do note that High-Octane prices may differ at different fuel stations and are not directly regulated by OGRA).
Analysis of What Will Influence Pakistan Petrol Price in June 2025
In many aspects, we see the forces that are in motion regarding the Pakistan petrol price into 2025 and beyond:
- Global Oil Market Trends: The primary factor in which we see price drops is the worldwide drop in crude oil prices. As international oil prices go down, that in turn also brings down the domestic fuel costs and that is very much to the benefit of the consumers.
- Currency Exchange Rate: While global oil prices are headed down, a mild rupee depreciation against the US dollar may put a dent in the expected relief. A weaker rupee also means that import of oil, which is a great chunk of our import basket, will become more expensive.
- Government Levies: The government places a number of taxes and duties on petroleum products. At present time, the Pakistan petrol price includes a Petroleum Development Levy (PDL) of PKR 78.2 per litre and PKR 77.1 on diesel . These levies along with customs duties and dealer margins make up a large element of the retail price. Any change in these levies will in turn also affect the pump price.
- OGRA’s Role: OGRA has a key role in setting fuel prices in Pakistan. OGRA usually does a price review every two months which is at the 15th of the month and the end of the month. For the Petrol price in Pakistan in June 2025 , we are to see an update May 31, 2025 which will come after the Ministry of Finance has given their go-ahead. At that time, we will see the exact numbers.
Looking Ahead to July 2025: A Rise in Pakistan Petrol Price
In May, we see a very small drop in Pakistan petrol prices which is to be followed by what experts are reporting as a large-scale price increase in July 2025. This is an element of what the government is putting forth in terms of fiscal changes and also as a part of our agreement with the International Monetary Fund. Also to note is that the Petroleum Development Levy (PDL) is put forward to go over PKR 100 per litre . Also in the works is a PKR 5 per litre carbon tax which will be applied to both petrol and diesel.
If we see these changes put into action, it may push Pakistan petrol price up to PKR 300 per litre which in turn will put a large strain on the consumer’s wallet and the total cost of living. Also, this brings to light the short-lived June relief and the fact that consumers should prepare for possibly higher petrol prices in the future.
Preparing for Pakistan Petroleum Prices’ Future
In 2025 , we see a drop in Pakistan petrol prices which will be only temporary, but at the same time, we have news of more hikes coming soon as a result of policy changes and international issues that are in play. It is of great import that you pay attention to what OGRA and the Ministry of Finance release on May 31, 2025 for the set rates. Also, watch out for world oil price trends and your currency exchange rates’ movement as that will present you with a picture of what to expect in terms of fuel prices in the near future.
